US-CHINA RELATIONS: BIDEN’S AMERICA & XI’S CHINA MUST EVOLVE BEYOND MUTUAL DEMONISATION

TOM PLATE WRITES — The filling of key policy positions in the incoming Biden administration proceeds apace. But so far, none of the announced or expected top-level appointees proffer particular savvy or expertise about Beijing. The designated Biden secretary of state is Antony Blinken, whose dedicated career competence and sensible style will prove refreshing and welcome, and might someday even blur memories in foreign capitals of primeval predecessor Mike Pompeo. But as close as this professional diplomat is to Biden – and this closeness is an enormous asset — Blinken has no pretensions to be some Sino-superman in a China cape.

On the Beijing remit, he will need all the help he can get — and as soon as he can get it. Especially at the start, America’s top diplomat will find himself pulled in many different international directions. No human no matter how skilled has time for everything all at once. China, representing 18% of global population and 32% of Asia’s, is a whale of a challenge. The country’s ambitious Communist Party takes few naps; very serious men are in charge. Right off, the incoming administration would help itself greatly by designating a Special Super-Coordinator for the PRC or even gin up a new position of China Czar. This would charge some capable professional figure in the American government with systematically sorting out the maddening bilateral matrix, with all its military, diplomatic, economic — and human-rights issues — that can spin the relationship into vicious infinite regress. Ideally, the China Czar would be neither a ‘panda hugger’ nor a panda strangler. She or he certainly should be fluent in Mandarin and, preferably, have served as a Foreign Serviceerton officer on the mainland.

To get the czar-ball rolling, a high-ranking career official should be known to Blinken. American intelligence expert Greg Treverton, whose extensive career includes service as chairman of the National Intelligence Council in the Obama administration, imagines a scenario in which the China coordinator is situated near the secretary of state in a re-energized State Department that had been suffocated by President Trump and chief enforcer Pompeo. As Treverton put it to me: “One easy way would be to make ‘P’ dual-hatted as the China coordinator. Of course, being located in State would have some downsides but the fate of most rootless czars is that they become, as I say, czardines.” FYI: ‘P’ is inner-sanctum lingo in Washington for the high-ranking position of Undersecretary of State for Political Affairs.

Reconstruction will also be needed of the conceptual sort: Biden’s people will not be able to get by without the guiding leverage of a big new idea for both the persuasion of domestic opinion and stabilization of policy. China too large and successful to lean on old analogies such as a “new” Cold War based on the containment concept that was sort of brilliant in 1946 but which has aged like everything else. For one thing, America does not have the kind of wealth advantage over China that it had over the former Soviet Union to be able to blithely outspend on weapons like some competitive cookie monster. To get into that sort of skies-the-limit game is to run the risk that America might wind up being outspent by China.

Serious issues of ethical and moral legitimacy face these two giant powers should they wind up running the bilateral relationship in grandpa’s Cold War terms. Each grinds long with domestic problems that admittedly cannot be solved solely with money, but certainly cannot be cut down to size without a great deal of it. Some problems, such as global warming and health, face all nations; some are special to them. The just-published book Invisible China: How the Urban-Rural Divide Threatens China’s Rise (by Stanford University Professor Scott Rozelle and education researcher-writer Natalie Johnson) analyze deep systemic faults in China’s development that, without amelioration, could plummet China into skydive collapse. As the citizen of a country with a strikingly comparable issue – urban versus rural divide — I must admit the ‘Invisible-China’ thesis struck home, after being so dramatized by last month’s U.S. national election.

It’s impossible to see how regional and global stability can be improved with China and the U.S.at each other’s throats. Systemic state-sponsored stereotyping of each other will hardly pave the road to de-tensioning. Mutual demonization has no place in China-US diplomacy and is an evil that will produce nothing good. Patriotism without modulation on both sides could trigger a chain of events that might elude the control of their manipulators. The drift to war can only be checked by steely willpower and absolute planet-caring.

It is insane to believe peace and stability can be achieved by demonizing. Alas, from the deeply convinced perspective of many in the U.S., especially in its foreign-policy, military and news media sectors, whenever an issue arises with Beijing, China is the guilty party no matter what anyone says. End of story. What’s the point in trying to negotiate anything with Beijing? In fact, strategically speaking, let’s do to the Communists in China precisely what we did to the Soviet Communists in Russia: Militarize ourselves to the teeth. What other option is there?

And all that the rest of the world needs to do is to hold on for dear life and succumb to an extended subjugation of a nuclear-tinged duel between two geopolitical dinosaurs. Presumably the incoming U.S. government will want to do better than this. And, for its part, the Xi government needs to initiate its own recalibration of the bitter bilateral and start meeting the West halfway if it desires to render its ‘peace-loving’ self-branding credible to anyone outside of the Communist Party of China.

Clinical Professor Tom Plate is founder of Asia Media International at Loyola Marymount University, in the Asian and Asian American Studies Department. He is vice president of the Pacific Century Institute and the author of 13 books. An earlier version of this column appeared in the South China Morning Post.

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One Reply to “US-CHINA RELATIONS: BIDEN’S AMERICA & XI’S CHINA MUST EVOLVE BEYOND MUTUAL DEMONISATION”

  1. Anglo super elite have very very poor thinking abilities. They set up China as the world factory, and put all the eggs in one basket, all in the name of globalisation scam.

    Instead if they got the brains, America could have a diverse source of supply chain from South East Asia, South Korea, Taiwan, India, Mexico, South America and Africa, etc.

    These supply chain countries will own US treasury bonds in a well distributed balanced global finance.

    By putting all eggs in one basket which is China, the greedy no brain Anglo super elite are just asking to be SHOT AND KILLED BY CHINA.

    China is a creation of the globalist super elite bastards from London, that sold out America and exported US manufacturing to engorge some fat f(*)k billionaires from Wall Street.

    Globalization scam has been sold by the last several Presidents, Congress, both Teams, and MSM.

    It’s literally a scam to make a few people super wealthy. The West created today’s China by allowing corporates to outsource to China due to own greed, and not having the foresight to see the negative effects that would have.

    Kissinger, Bush, Obama, Clinton, Biden etc.. have all made deals with China to sell US down the road to globalization.
    The Anglo super elite Predator Class transported US factories to China to make billions on wage arbitrage. The money is in the Cayman Islands and the factories are in China.

    The West is now face a powerful and highly nationalistic adversary that does not share a commitment to the rule of law and human rights.

    China can be weakened by severely reducing that outsourcing but it seems clear that it will react militarily.

    If the West will initiate a permanent move against the CCP within the next two years (removing the vast majority of its investments and manufacturing reliance) the CCP will collapse.

    If we do not do that, the West will collapse within 5 years. It’s our choice.

    AMERICAN UNITED WORKER FRONT

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